Monday, July 30, 2012
Good Poker, by Bryce Paradis
Today we offer one of the best articles, for its clarity and simplicity that have been written about poker and general theory of the meaning and scope of topics and tips usually accepted. How is a good player? What a person needs to play "good poker? Even veteran players may give you a wide range of opinions on this. There are, however, a single correct definition. The aim of a poker player is to choose the strategy with the highest expected value (EV). Every poker decision has two parts: 1. Make an assumption about what is the strategy of your opponent. 2. Choose the strategy that has more EV based on what you assumed to be the strategy of your opponent. Therefore, playing good poker is: "Making the assumption accurately as possible about what your opponent's strategy, based on the information you have available and choose the strategy most EV based on that?. If you can get both things you can expect to earn as much money playing poker. Poker is a game of incomplete information, what their cards and what their strategy is not directly available to you.
Here are some things that are not part of a good game. Playing good poker has nothing to do with knowing exactly what your opponent's cards. Imagine you are playing No Limit Hold'em with a friend and you up all-in. Think you know your friend only do that with 2c 3s or AA. You have KK and 1:1 makes you rise to the pot. You should throw yourself even the times you have 2c 3s. Based on what you know, your opponent will have 2c 3s 14% of the time and 86% AA (there are more ways for the deck of your friend AA). Playing good poker also means not being clairvoyant about what your opponent's actions represent. Imagine you're playing against an opponent whose strategy is to bluff 20% of the time you wager. Bet. Are you bluffing? As in the previous example there is information you need to distinguish between the times that your opponent is bluffing and sometimes not. Just know that bluff about 20% of the time, and you must choose your strategy accordingly. Finally, play good poker has nothing to do with the current strategy of your opponent.
Imagine your best, you are playing poker for the first time. Your first 1,000 competitors go all in with every hand pre-flop. Your opponent sits and 1001 dealt the first hand. Going all-in. You assume that it is very likely to do that with any two cards. You decide to call with KK. It happens that his strategy was to raise all-in only with AA, letters bearing. What we assume about his strategy was not a mistake, it was a perfectly reasonable assumption for you given the information available. If you had played hundreds of hands with this new rival and had gone all-in pre-flop your assumption would have been stupid then. So how do you learn to be a "good poker player? The first thing you have to do is to realize that the two sides of a decision of poker is fundamentally different.
Make an assumption about your opponent's strategy is a trial inductive (intuitive). To the extent that the strategy of your opponent is unknown will never be able to determine exactly how your assumptions are accurate. For example, if you see your opponent bluffs four of four hands can not say, with confidence, that their strategy is always bluffing. Criticizing the conclusions you get from the information that can help ensure you are making rational judgments, however. This tends to lead to tighter assumptions. It is important to take time to ask things about the trials you do: what information is currently available? Is there any information you might have missed? Is all the information that was involved was relevant in your opinion? An honest assessment of your assumptions carefully and will help ensure that they were as close as possible. As our inductive assumptions are in the process trying to teach "good assumptions? tends to be ineffective. While general assumptions, such as "probably will not shoot your opponents kings pre-flop?, Tend to be true, can be extremely difficult to remember, communicate and ignore all the factors involved in the assumptions in poker.
Being able to infer what past actions indicate your opponents about the future is a skill that develops through experience. It is therefore not usually put much emphasis on valuable advise you on what you should assume that your opponents are doing. Choose more EV strategy, based on your assumptions, is a process (logical) deductive. It is possible to determine mathematically what the EV of a strategy. As a result you can fully trust your strategic decisions. Unfortunately determine the EV of a strategy is sometimes easier said than done. A great poker player would be able to calculate the EV of each decision. However, it is unreasonable to expect that players will have this capability. Calculate the EV of a strategy in the four streets of the game is a task inappropriate for men. It would be not only extremely difficult but also would be impractical. As a result, many poker players tend to use empirical data (based on experience) rather than analytical (based on logic) to make strategic decisions. The learning online poker can be very steep, and many players tend to make widespread use of strategic advice.
To become a good player you have to understand why the general advice is lower empirical data to mathematical analysis and tools to choose strategies. This will help you make responsible use of such tools. The conditions under which a general counsel is true are not necessarily the same as those given in the game you're playing. "You should not throw you to a bet on the river being the second best possible hand? is a perfectly reasonable advice. In my experience tends to be right more times than not. However, it is important to realize that there is no necessary link between a man says that's just right and it is indeed. The EV of a strategy depends on what is at risk based on the potential reward and the probability that an event occurs. May be situations in which your opponents choose strategies that make this board does not work. The general tips are useful and generally accurate, and is positive about not follow it. The best advice generally tend to try to be as tight as possible by introducing exceptions.
However, there are too many exceptions. While a great poker player will be in accordance with good general advice also recognize the conditions under which these tips are not correct and choose another path. The conclusions drawn from empirical data tend to flourish. Imagine that you have opened the boat up to 76th on the button 10,000 times and obtained the value of it. This data can be used to support the council "must open the pot with a raise from the button with 76th?. However, realize that this lawsuit is entirely justified by the data used. Not all conditions that can occur in a game are taken into account given the data (your strategy and your opponents, for example). This council is a generalization. The conclusion is an assumption justified. By using empirical data to make strategic decisions is important to be mindful of what you say and what not the data. It would be (hypothetically) to enumerate a large number of potential strategies of your opponents and use mathematical analysis to solve the optimal counter-strategies for each. Again, this would be extremely impractical, both for the teacher and the learner.
People do not give general advice because they are theoretically ideal, because they give them practical tools for teaching and are relatively good, although imperfect, poker. Coaches should be aware of the shortcomings of general advice and use them intelligently and effectively. Very new players are advised to stay within the channels of the general advice given to them, unless they have compelling reasons that they must act differently. These players should recognize, however, that their goal is to become mature poker players have the capacity to determine if they are taking smart strategic decisions for themselves. The fastest, most effective, to do that is to be able to calculate the EV of simple strategies. This requires some credit with the mathematics of poker. Source: 2 +2 Publishing.
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